2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 11:45 PM · Williams-Brice Stadium

Vanderbilt @ South Carolina

Predicted scoreLean

Vanderbilt

23.5

South Carolina

30.6

South Carolina win probability: 68%

Margin (South Carolina − Vanderbilt): 7.2 (80% range -13 to 28)

Total: 54.1 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Vanderbilt 31 – South Carolina 7 (margin error 31.2, total error 16.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.