2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 7:30 PM · Milan Puskar Stadium

Pittsburgh @ West Virginia

Predicted scoreToss-up

Pittsburgh

25.3

West Virginia

27.6

West Virginia win probability: 56%

Margin (West Virginia − Pittsburgh): 2.2 (80% range -18 to 22)

Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Pittsburgh 24 – West Virginia 31 (margin error 4.8, total error 2.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.