2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 7:30 PM · Jones AT&T Stadium
Oregon State @ Texas Tech
Predicted scoreLikely
Oregon State
21.1
Texas Tech
33.4
Texas Tech win probability: 78%
Margin (Texas Tech − Oregon State): 12.4 (80% range -7 to 34)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Oregon State 14 – Texas Tech 45 (margin error 18.6, total error 4.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.