2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 4:00 PM · Lincoln Financial Field

Oklahoma @ Temple

Predicted scoreLikely

Oklahoma

33.2

Temple

18.1

Temple win probability: 17%

Margin (Temple − Oklahoma): -15.1 (80% range -35 to 5)

Total: 51.4 (80% range 30 to 75)

Actual: Oklahoma 42 – Temple 3 (margin error 23.9, total error 6.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.