Predicted scoreToss-up
Kansas
27.0
Missouri
26.8
Missouri win probability: 50%
Margin (Missouri − Kansas): -0.2 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Kansas 31 – Missouri 42 (margin error 11.2, total error 19.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.