2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 4:45 PM · Kyle Field
Utah State @ Texas A&M
Predicted scoreConfident
Utah State
17.3
Texas A&M
36.1
Texas A&M win probability: 88%
Margin (Texas A&M − Utah State): 18.8 (80% range -1 to 39)
Total: 53.4 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Utah State 22 – Texas A&M 44 (margin error 3.2, total error 12.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 35 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.