Predicted scoreToss-up
Utah
23.2
UCLA
24.5
UCLA win probability: 53%
Margin (UCLA − Utah): 1.3 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 47.7 (80% range 27 to 71)
Actual: Utah 43 – UCLA 10 (margin error 34.3, total error 5.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.