2025 Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025, 7:30 PM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Temple @ Massachusetts

Predicted scoreToss-up

Temple

27.5

Massachusetts

25.3

Massachusetts win probability: 44%

Margin (Massachusetts − Temple): -2.3 (80% range -23 to 18)

Total: 52.8 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Temple 42 – Massachusetts 10 (margin error 29.7, total error 0.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.