Predicted scoreToss-up
Auburn
26.2
Baylor
27.2
Baylor win probability: 52%
Margin (Baylor − Auburn): 1.0 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 53.5 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Auburn 38 – Baylor 24 (margin error 15.0, total error 8.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.