2025 Week 1 · Aug 29, 2025, 1:00 AM · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (neutral site)

Nebraska @ Cincinnati

Predicted scoreLean

Nebraska

27.5

Cincinnati

22.9

Cincinnati win probability: 38%

Margin (Cincinnati − Nebraska): -4.5 (80% range -24 to 15)

Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Nebraska 20 – Cincinnati 17 (margin error 1.5, total error 13.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.