2023 Postseason · Dec 30, 2023, 9:30 PM · Arizona Stadium (neutral site)

Toledo @ Wyoming

Predicted scoreToss-up

Toledo

27.6

Wyoming

24.6

Wyoming win probability: 43%

Margin (Wyoming − Toledo): -3.0 (80% range -24 to 17)

Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Toledo 15 – Wyoming 16 (margin error 4.0, total error 21.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.