Predicted scoreToss-up
Auburn
26.1
Maryland
27.1
Maryland win probability: 53%
Margin (Maryland − Auburn): 1.1 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 53.2 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Auburn 13 – Maryland 31 (margin error 16.9, total error 9.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.