2023 Postseason · Dec 29, 2023, 2:15 AM · Alamodome (neutral site)

Arizona @ Oklahoma

Predicted scoreLikely

Arizona

26.7

Oklahoma

38.3

Oklahoma win probability: 75%

Margin (Oklahoma − Arizona): 11.6 (80% range -10 to 34)

Total: 65.0 (80% range 40 to 93)

Actual: Arizona 38 – Oklahoma 24 (margin error 25.6, total error 3.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.