2023 Postseason · Dec 28, 2023, 7:15 PM · Yankee Stadium (neutral site)

Rutgers @ Miami

Predicted scoreToss-up

Rutgers

23.6

Miami

23.3

Miami win probability: 49%

Margin (Miami − Rutgers): -0.3 (80% range -21 to 20)

Total: 46.9 (80% range 26 to 70)

Actual: Rutgers 31 – Miami 24 (margin error 6.7, total error 8.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.