2023 Postseason · Dec 28, 2023, 2:00 AM · NRG Stadium (neutral site)

Texas A&M @ Oklahoma State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Texas A&M

26.5

Oklahoma State

25.8

Oklahoma State win probability: 49%

Margin (Oklahoma State − Texas A&M): -0.7 (80% range -21 to 20)

Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Texas A&M 23 – Oklahoma State 31 (margin error 8.7, total error 1.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.