2023 Postseason · Dec 17, 2023, 2:15 AM · Independence Stadium (neutral site)

California @ Texas Tech

Predicted scoreLean

California

23.1

Texas Tech

30.3

Texas Tech win probability: 67%

Margin (Texas Tech − California): 7.2 (80% range -13 to 28)

Total: 53.4 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: California 14 – Texas Tech 34 (margin error 12.8, total error 5.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.