2023 Week 13 · Nov 26, 2023, 3:30 AM · Rose Bowl
California @ UCLA
Predicted scoreLean
California
20.8
UCLA
27.4
UCLA win probability: 66%
Margin (UCLA − California): 6.6 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 48.2 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: California 33 – UCLA 7 (margin error 32.6, total error 8.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.88% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.