2023 Week 13 · Nov 26, 2023, 12:30 AM · Nippert Stadium
Kansas @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreLean
Kansas
33.7
Cincinnati
29.2
Cincinnati win probability: 40%
Margin (Cincinnati − Kansas): -4.5 (80% range -25 to 17)
Total: 62.8 (80% range 38 to 90)
Actual: Kansas 49 – Cincinnati 16 (margin error 28.5, total error 2.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 38 | 28 | 0.55% |
| 38 | 31 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.