2023 Week 13 · Nov 26, 2023, 12:00 AM · McLane Stadium
West Virginia @ Baylor
Predicted scoreLean
West Virginia
32.1
Baylor
26.4
Baylor win probability: 37%
Margin (Baylor − West Virginia): -5.7 (80% range -27 to 15)
Total: 58.6 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: West Virginia 34 – Baylor 31 (margin error 2.7, total error 6.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.63% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.56% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.54% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.