2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 8:30 PM · Mountain America Stadium

Arizona @ Arizona State

Predicted scoreLikely

Arizona

32.8

Arizona State

22.5

Arizona State win probability: 26%

Margin (Arizona State − Arizona): -10.3 (80% range -31 to 10)

Total: 55.3 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Arizona 59 – Arizona State 23 (margin error 25.7, total error 26.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.