Predicted scoreLikely
Liberty
33.5
UTEP
23.2
UTEP win probability: 26%
Margin (UTEP − Liberty): -10.3 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 56.6 (80% range 33 to 82)
Actual: Liberty 42 – UTEP 28 (margin error 3.7, total error 13.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.