2023 Week 13 · Nov 24, 2023, 5:00 PM · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)

Miami @ Boston College

Predicted scoreToss-up

Miami

29.6

Boston College

27.5

Boston College win probability: 45%

Margin (Boston College − Miami): -2.1 (80% range -24 to 18)

Total: 57.2 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Miami 45 – Boston College 20 (margin error 22.9, total error 7.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.