Predicted scoreLean
Florida
26.2
Missouri
32.6
Missouri win probability: 65%
Margin (Missouri − Florida): 6.4 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 58.8 (80% range 34 to 85)
Actual: Florida 31 – Missouri 33 (margin error 4.4, total error 5.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.