2023 Week 12 · Nov 19, 2023, 12:00 AM · Memorial Stadium
Kansas State @ Kansas
Predicted scoreLean
Kansas State
32.9
Kansas
25.6
Kansas win probability: 33%
Margin (Kansas − Kansas State): -7.4 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 58.5 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: Kansas State 31 – Kansas 27 (margin error 3.4, total error 0.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.