Predicted scoreToss-up
Utah
24.6
Arizona
24.4
Arizona win probability: 49%
Margin (Arizona − Utah): -0.3 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 49.0 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Utah 18 – Arizona 42 (margin error 24.3, total error 11.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.