2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 7:30 PM · Milan Puskar Stadium

Cincinnati @ West Virginia

Predicted scoreLean

Cincinnati

24.9

West Virginia

32.7

West Virginia win probability: 68%

Margin (West Virginia − Cincinnati): 7.8 (80% range -13 to 28)

Total: 57.6 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Cincinnati 21 – West Virginia 42 (margin error 13.2, total error 5.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.