2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 5:00 PM · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

UL Monroe @ Ole Miss

Predicted scoreConfident

UL Monroe

15.7

Ole Miss

42.6

Ole Miss win probability: 95%

Margin (Ole Miss − UL Monroe): 26.9 (80% range 6 to 49)

Total: 58.3 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: UL Monroe 3 – Ole Miss 35 (margin error 5.1, total error 20.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.