2023 Week 11 · Nov 12, 2023, 2:00 AM · Rose Bowl
Arizona State @ UCLA
Predicted scoreLikely
Arizona State
18.9
UCLA
32.6
UCLA win probability: 81%
Margin (UCLA − Arizona State): 13.7 (80% range -7 to 35)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 29 to 76)
Actual: Arizona State 17 – UCLA 7 (margin error 23.7, total error 27.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.