Predicted scoreLikely
Florida
26.5
LSU
37.3
LSU win probability: 74%
Margin (LSU − Florida): 10.8 (80% range -10 to 32)
Total: 63.9 (80% range 38 to 91)
Actual: Florida 35 – LSU 52 (margin error 6.2, total error 23.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 38 | 0.55% |
| 17 | 35 | 0.54% |
| 21 | 38 | 0.53% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.53% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.