2023 Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023, 9:00 PM · California Memorial Stadium

Washington State @ California

Predicted scoreToss-up

Washington State

24.8

California

26.6

California win probability: 55%

Margin (California − Washington State): 1.8 (80% range -18 to 21)

Total: 51.5 (80% range 28 to 76)

Actual: Washington State 39 – California 42 (margin error 1.2, total error 29.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.