2023 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2023, 12:30 AM · Glass Bowl
Eastern Michigan @ Toledo
Predicted scoreLikely
Eastern Michigan
17.4
Toledo
30.6
Toledo win probability: 80%
Margin (Toledo − Eastern Michigan): 13.3 (80% range -7 to 34)
Total: 48.0 (80% range 27 to 71)
Actual: Eastern Michigan 23 – Toledo 49 (margin error 12.7, total error 24.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.77% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.