2023 Week 10 · Nov 5, 2023, 2:00 AM · Folsom Field
Oregon State @ Colorado
Predicted scoreLean
Oregon State
32.9
Colorado
25.5
Colorado win probability: 32%
Margin (Colorado − Oregon State): -7.5 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 58.4 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Oregon State 26 – Colorado 19 (margin error 0.5, total error 13.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.