2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 10:00 PM · Williams Stadium (VA)

Louisiana Tech @ Liberty

Predicted scoreLikely

Louisiana Tech

22.1

Liberty

34.9

Liberty win probability: 78%

Margin (Liberty − Louisiana Tech): 12.9 (80% range -8 to 34)

Total: 57.0 (80% range 33 to 83)

Actual: Louisiana Tech 30 – Liberty 56 (margin error 13.1, total error 29.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.