Predicted scoreConfident
Missouri
18.5
Georgia
34.8
Georgia win probability: 85%
Margin (Georgia − Missouri): 16.3 (80% range -4 to 37)
Total: 53.2 (80% range 31 to 77)
Actual: Missouri 21 – Georgia 30 (margin error 7.3, total error 2.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.84% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 35 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.