2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 6:00 PM · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Arizona State @ Utah
Predicted scoreLikely
Arizona State
17.7
Utah
29.9
Utah win probability: 79%
Margin (Utah − Arizona State): 12.3 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 47.6 (80% range 27 to 70)
Actual: Arizona State 3 – Utah 55 (margin error 39.7, total error 10.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.