2023 Week 9 · Oct 29, 2023, 2:30 AM · Arizona Stadium
Oregon State @ Arizona
Predicted scoreToss-up
Oregon State
27.8
Arizona
28.2
Arizona win probability: 51%
Margin (Arizona − Oregon State): 0.4 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 56.0 (80% range 31 to 81)
Actual: Oregon State 24 – Arizona 27 (margin error 2.6, total error 5.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.