2023 Week 9 · Oct 29, 2023, 12:00 AM · Boone Pickens Stadium

Cincinnati @ Oklahoma State

Predicted scoreLikely

Cincinnati

25.8

Oklahoma State

34.6

Oklahoma State win probability: 70%

Margin (Oklahoma State − Cincinnati): 8.9 (80% range -13 to 31)

Total: 60.4 (80% range 35 to 86)

Actual: Cincinnati 13 – Oklahoma State 45 (margin error 23.1, total error 2.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.