2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 5:00 PM · Rynearson Stadium

Western Michigan @ Eastern Michigan

Predicted scoreToss-up

Western Michigan

26.4

Eastern Michigan

23.8

Eastern Michigan win probability: 43%

Margin (Eastern Michigan − Western Michigan): -2.6 (80% range -22 to 17)

Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 74)

Actual: Western Michigan 45 – Eastern Michigan 21 (margin error 21.4, total error 15.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.