2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 4:00 PM · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)

UConn @ Boston College

Predicted scoreLikely

UConn

20.3

Boston College

32.4

Boston College win probability: 78%

Margin (Boston College − UConn): 12.1 (80% range -8 to 32)

Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: UConn 14 – Boston College 21 (margin error 5.1, total error 17.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.