2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 11:00 PM · LaVell Edwards Stadium

Texas Tech @ BYU

Predicted scoreLean

Texas Tech

29.2

BYU

24.1

BYU win probability: 38%

Margin (BYU − Texas Tech): -5.1 (80% range -25 to 15)

Total: 53.3 (80% range 30 to 78)

Actual: Texas Tech 14 – BYU 27 (margin error 18.1, total error 12.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.