2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 11:00 PM · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Texas Tech @ BYU
Predicted scoreLean
Texas Tech
29.2
BYU
24.1
BYU win probability: 38%
Margin (BYU − Texas Tech): -5.1 (80% range -25 to 15)
Total: 53.3 (80% range 30 to 78)
Actual: Texas Tech 14 – BYU 27 (margin error 18.1, total error 12.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.62% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.