Predicted scoreLean
Ole Miss
30.3
Auburn
23.9
Auburn win probability: 34%
Margin (Auburn − Ole Miss): -6.4 (80% range -27 to 14)
Total: 54.2 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Ole Miss 28 – Auburn 21 (margin error 0.6, total error 5.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.