2024 Postseason · Dec 31, 2024, 8:30 PM · NRG Stadium (neutral site)

Baylor @ LSU

Predicted scoreConfident

Baylor

22.3

LSU

40.4

LSU win probability: 86%

Margin (LSU − Baylor): 18.0 (80% range -3 to 39)

Total: 62.7 (80% range 38 to 89)

Actual: Baylor 31 – LSU 44 (margin error 5.0, total error 12.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.