2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 4:00 PM · Nippert Stadium
Baylor @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreLean
Baylor
25.9
Cincinnati
30.2
Cincinnati win probability: 60%
Margin (Cincinnati − Baylor): 4.3 (80% range -17 to 25)
Total: 56.1 (80% range 32 to 82)
Actual: Baylor 32 – Cincinnati 29 (margin error 7.3, total error 4.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.