2023 Week 7 · Oct 15, 2023, 12:00 AM · Reser Stadium
UCLA @ Oregon State
Predicted scoreToss-up
UCLA
24.9
Oregon State
28.8
Oregon State win probability: 60%
Margin (Oregon State − UCLA): 3.9 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: UCLA 24 – Oregon State 36 (margin error 8.1, total error 6.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.