2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 11:00 PM · Jones AT&T Stadium

Kansas State @ Texas Tech

Predicted scoreToss-up

Kansas State

26.9

Texas Tech

27.6

Texas Tech win probability: 52%

Margin (Texas Tech − Kansas State): 0.7 (80% range -20 to 21)

Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Kansas State 38 – Texas Tech 21 (margin error 17.7, total error 4.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.