2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 7:00 PM · Rice-Eccles Stadium
California @ Utah
Predicted scoreLikely
California
17.9
Utah
26.7
Utah win probability: 72%
Margin (Utah − California): 8.9 (80% range -10 to 28)
Total: 44.6 (80% range 24 to 68)
Actual: California 14 – Utah 34 (margin error 11.1, total error 3.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 17 | 0.91% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.