Predicted scoreToss-up
BYU
25.3
Colorado
27.7
Colorado win probability: 56%
Margin (Colorado − BYU): 2.4 (80% range -18 to 23)
Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: BYU 36 – Colorado 14 (margin error 24.4, total error 2.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.