2024 Postseason · Dec 28, 2024, 9:30 PM · Arizona Stadium (neutral site)

Miami (OH) @ Colorado State

Predicted scoreLean

Miami (OH)

27.3

Colorado State

20.5

Colorado State win probability: 33%

Margin (Colorado State − Miami (OH)): -6.8 (80% range -27 to 13)

Total: 47.9 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Miami (OH) 43 – Colorado State 17 (margin error 19.2, total error 12.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.