2023 Week 6 · Oct 8, 2023, 2:00 AM · California Memorial Stadium

Oregon State @ California

Predicted scoreLean

Oregon State

28.3

California

21.6

California win probability: 33%

Margin (California − Oregon State): -6.7 (80% range -27 to 14)

Total: 49.8 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: Oregon State 52 – California 40 (margin error 5.3, total error 42.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.