2023 Week 6 · Oct 8, 2023, 12:00 AM · Maverik Stadium
Colorado State @ Utah State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Colorado State
25.5
Utah State
28.3
Utah State win probability: 57%
Margin (Utah State − Colorado State): 2.8 (80% range -18 to 23)
Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Colorado State 24 – Utah State 44 (margin error 17.2, total error 14.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.62% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.